Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.1 ▼ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 33.5 ▲ +0.8 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 33.8 ▼ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 58.8 ▼ +0.2 NeolixCN 82.3 ▼ -2.2 Baidu Apollo GoCN 81.1 ▼ -0.3 WaymoUS 78.1 ▼ -2.7 Starship TechnologiesEE 76.4 ▲ +7.0 Serve RoboticsUS 65.4 ▼ -3.7 WeRideCN 62.1 ▲ +3.4 Pony.aiCN 60.7 ▼ -3.8 ZooxUS 50.1 ▼ -0.8 Applied IntuitionUS 46.3 ▲ +2.3 DeepRoute.aiCN 45.6 ▲ +6.8 KodiakUS 45.5 ▼ -1.2 TeslaUS 41.4 ▼ -3.8 AuroraUS 41.0 ▼ -1.3 MeituanCN 40.9 ▲ +12.4 Avride PodUS 39.7 ▲ +4.3 MomentaCN 39.1 ▲ +7.8 CocoUS 37.0 ▲ +0.4 Bot AutoUS 36.5 ▼ -0.7 DoorDash DotUS 33.6 – 0.0 AvrideUS 32.5 ▲ +2.5 May MobilityUS 32.3 ▼ -0.2 MotionalUS 31.9 ▲ +0.8 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 30.4 ▼ -1.1 MobileyeIL 28.5 ▼ -1.2 TorcUS 26.6 ▼ -1.0 Cao Cao MobilityCN 25.4 ▼ -2.9 WayveGB 24.8 ▲ +1.4 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 24.5 ▲ +3.1 XPengCN 24.3 ▼ -0.7 AutobrainsIL 21.9 ▲ +0.3 NuroUS 21.0 – 0.0 WaabiCA 20.3 ▼ -0.2 VerneHR 19.6 ▲ +1.5 Helm.aiUS 17.9 ▼ -1.1 PlusAIUS 15.4 ▲ +1.5 MOIA AmericaDE 14.1 ▼ -11.5 Tensor AutoUS 12.0 ▼ -7.2 Stack AVUS 10.9 ▼ -5.9 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.1 ▼ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 33.5 ▲ +0.8 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 33.8 ▼ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 58.8 ▼ +0.2 NeolixCN 82.3 ▼ -2.2 Baidu Apollo GoCN 81.1 ▼ -0.3 WaymoUS 78.1 ▼ -2.7 Starship TechnologiesEE 76.4 ▲ +7.0 Serve RoboticsUS 65.4 ▼ -3.7 WeRideCN 62.1 ▲ +3.4 Pony.aiCN 60.7 ▼ -3.8 ZooxUS 50.1 ▼ -0.8 Applied IntuitionUS 46.3 ▲ +2.3 DeepRoute.aiCN 45.6 ▲ +6.8 KodiakUS 45.5 ▼ -1.2 TeslaUS 41.4 ▼ -3.8 AuroraUS 41.0 ▼ -1.3 MeituanCN 40.9 ▲ +12.4 Avride PodUS 39.7 ▲ +4.3 MomentaCN 39.1 ▲ +7.8 CocoUS 37.0 ▲ +0.4 Bot AutoUS 36.5 ▼ -0.7 DoorDash DotUS 33.6 – 0.0 AvrideUS 32.5 ▲ +2.5 May MobilityUS 32.3 ▼ -0.2 MotionalUS 31.9 ▲ +0.8 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 30.4 ▼ -1.1 MobileyeIL 28.5 ▼ -1.2 TorcUS 26.6 ▼ -1.0 Cao Cao MobilityCN 25.4 ▼ -2.9 WayveGB 24.8 ▲ +1.4 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 24.5 ▲ +3.1 XPengCN 24.3 ▼ -0.7 AutobrainsIL 21.9 ▲ +0.3 NuroUS 21.0 – 0.0 WaabiCA 20.3 ▼ -0.2 VerneHR 19.6 ▲ +1.5 Helm.aiUS 17.9 ▼ -1.1 PlusAIUS 15.4 ▲ +1.5 MOIA AmericaDE 14.1 ▼ -11.5 Tensor AutoUS 12.0 ▼ -7.2 Stack AVUS 10.9 ▼ -5.9 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
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The Road to Autonomy
Market intelligence and analysis on the convergence of automation, autonomy, commerce, and economic growth.
Published Weekly on Sunday.
Waymo Has Started Mapping SFO, But There’s a Catch
March 23, 2025
Waymo Has Started Mapping SFO, But There’s a Catch
Waymo is expanding robotaxi operations into Silicon Valley and Miami while beginning SFO airport mapping. The article argues Waymo's market leadership stems from superior safety versus distracted human drivers, with Americans checking phones 205 times daily and 27% admitting to phone use while driving.
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Wayve’s ChatGPT Moment Is On The Horizon
March 16, 2025
Wayve’s ChatGPT Moment Is On The Horizon
Wayve's foundation model can adapt to new vehicle platforms with only 100 hours of training data and to new countries with 500 hours, representing a potential breakthrough in scalable autonomous driving deployment. The article also discusses May Mobility's partnership with Toyota and Lyft, while arguing Uber and Lyft must either foster market fragmentation or vertically integrate to avoid losing leverage as robotaxis scale.
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Waymo Launches on Uber in Austin
March 9, 2025
Waymo Launches on Uber in Austin
Waymo launched exclusively on Uber in Austin, marking the first Waymo deployment available solely through Uber's app rather than its own platform. Separately, Wayve expanded testing to Germany's Autobahn and urban roads, positioning for potential OEM licensing deals with Stuttgart-based automakers like Porsche or Mercedes-Benz.
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Waymo: 200k Paid Rides a Week and Counting
March 2, 2025
Waymo: 200k Paid Rides a Week and Counting
Waymo hit 200,000 weekly paid rides with expansion into Austin, Atlanta, and Miami approaching potential profitability—a key inflection point for Alphabet's autonomous strategy. NVIDIA's automotive/robotics revenue grew 103% YoY, but faces emerging competition as leading AV companies may vertically integrate and develop proprietary chips.
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Turning Lyft’s Robotaxi Narrative into a Strategic Advantage
February 23, 2025
Turning Lyft’s Robotaxi Narrative into a Strategic Advantage
Lyft and Uber are successfully reframing the robotaxi narrative from existential threat to platform opportunity by emphasizing fleet-based AV models. Both companies are investing in fleet management capabilities while lowering operational costs through increased vehicle uptime and reduced insurance premiums as autonomous vehicles scale.
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Lyft’s Autonomous Vehicle Strategy Takes Shape
February 16, 2025
Lyft’s Autonomous Vehicle Strategy Takes Shape
Lyft is pursuing an asset-light autonomous vehicle strategy through partnerships with May Mobility (Atlanta) and Mobileye (Dallas by 2026), positioning itself as a platform rather than operator. The strategy's viability remains uncertain without a confirmed OEM partner for vehicle supply, with Volkswagen speculated but unconfirmed.
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Ford To Explore Licensing an Autonomous Driving System?
February 9, 2025
Ford To Explore Licensing an Autonomous Driving System?
Ford CEO Jim Farley indicated the automaker is exploring licensing SAE Level 4 autonomous driving technology rather than developing it entirely in-house. Potential partners include Wayve, Nuro, or even Tesla, which could help Ford accelerate its autonomy strategy after GM stumbled with Cruise's collapse.
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Waymo’s Big Week
February 2, 2025
Waymo’s Big Week
Waymo parent Alphabet continues advancing autonomous vehicle deployment as The Washington Post Editorial Board calls for national AV regulation, citing safety data showing AVs outperform human drivers. With 40,990 U.S. traffic deaths in 2023, the piece argues autonomous technology could significantly reduce fatalities caused by distracted, impaired, or emotional human driving.
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The Golden Age of Autonomy
January 26, 2025
The Golden Age of Autonomy
Kodiak sold the first autonomous truck to a third-party owner-operator, marking a commercialization milestone. Their modular SensorPod technology enables rapid deployment across multiple vehicle types including defense applications. Meanwhile, Uber is refining its autonomy strategy, though its long-term competitive positioning against direct fleet operators remains unclear.
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Autonomy Leaderboard Q1 2025 Update
January 19, 2025
Autonomy Leaderboard Q1 2025 Update
The Q1 2025 Autonomy Leaderboard added Bot Auto, Plus, and Nuro while removing Cruise after GM's shutdown. A new Licensing category was introduced, recognizing the emerging market for autonomous driving stack licensing, with Wayve and Nuro leading. Aurora and Kodiak top autonomous trucking rankings.
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Autonomous Vehicles, A Multi-Trillion Dollar Industry
January 12, 2025
Autonomous Vehicles, A Multi-Trillion Dollar Industry
Nvidia's Jensen Huang projects autonomous vehicles will become a multi-trillion-dollar robotics industry. Aurora filed a court challenge against FMCSA's denial of safety exemptions, citing political interference over technical merit. Deere expanded its autonomous equipment lineup to address farm labor shortages.
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The Road to Autonomy Index Outperforms S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 in 2024
January 5, 2025
The Road to Autonomy Index Outperforms S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 in 2024
The Road to Autonomy Index outperformed both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 in 2024. The article suggests a national AV regulatory framework under the incoming Trump administration could provide investment certainty and accelerate sector growth.
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The Future is Bright. The Future is Autonomous. The Future is The Autonomy Economy.