Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 49.7 – 0.0 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 26.1 ▲ +0.6 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.4 ▲ +0.3 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 55.5 ▼ +0.5 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.9 ▼ -1.9 WaymoUS 77.1 ▼ -0.2 Pony.aiCN 66.0 ▲ +6.9 Starship TechnologiesEE 65.9 ▼ -2.4 NeolixCN 60.7 ▼ -16.7 CocoUS 60.4 ▲ +11.0 Serve RoboticsUS 58.6 ▼ -2.8 KodiakUS 55.2 ▲ +4.5 WeRideCN 54.6 ▼ -3.1 AuroraUS 50.4 ▼ -1.5 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 49.8 ▲ +10.6 MeituanCN 46.6 ▼ -19.4 TeslaUS 44.1 – 0.0 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 42.7 ▲ +4.8 Cao Cao MobilityCN 41.3 ▲ +4.2 XPengCN 39.2 ▲ +3.8 ZooxUS 38.7 ▲ +3.0 Applied IntuitionUS 37.5 ▼ -20.8 DoorDash DotUS 35.0 ▲ +2.8 DeepRoute.aiCN 34.3 ▼ -20.7 Avride PodUS 34.2 ▲ +0.7 May MobilityUS 34.0 ▲ +1.2 TorcUS 33.5 ▲ +2.8 MotionalUS 32.8 ▼ -0.2 Bot AutoUS 30.2 ▼ -11.9 AvrideUS 29.9 ▲ +1.0 WaabiCA 29.4 ▲ +1.1 MomentaCN 28.8 ▼ -15.3 MobileyeIL 28.4 ▼ -18.9 MOIA AmericaDE 28.1 ▲ +0.6 WayveGB 27.9 ▼ -0.3 VerneHR 22.6 ▲ +1.5 AutobrainsIL 22.1 ▲ +0.4 Stack AVUS 21.9 ▼ -2.7 NuroUS 19.4 ▼ -3.5 PlusAIUS 18.9 ▲ +2.2 Helm.aiUS 17.6 ▲ +0.1 Tensor AutoUS 15.8 ▼ -4.3 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 49.7 – 0.0 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 26.1 ▲ +0.6 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.4 ▲ +0.3 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 55.5 ▼ +0.5 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.9 ▼ -1.9 WaymoUS 77.1 ▼ -0.2 Pony.aiCN 66.0 ▲ +6.9 Starship TechnologiesEE 65.9 ▼ -2.4 NeolixCN 60.7 ▼ -16.7 CocoUS 60.4 ▲ +11.0 Serve RoboticsUS 58.6 ▼ -2.8 KodiakUS 55.2 ▲ +4.5 WeRideCN 54.6 ▼ -3.1 AuroraUS 50.4 ▼ -1.5 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 49.8 ▲ +10.6 MeituanCN 46.6 ▼ -19.4 TeslaUS 44.1 – 0.0 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 42.7 ▲ +4.8 Cao Cao MobilityCN 41.3 ▲ +4.2 XPengCN 39.2 ▲ +3.8 ZooxUS 38.7 ▲ +3.0 Applied IntuitionUS 37.5 ▼ -20.8 DoorDash DotUS 35.0 ▲ +2.8 DeepRoute.aiCN 34.3 ▼ -20.7 Avride PodUS 34.2 ▲ +0.7 May MobilityUS 34.0 ▲ +1.2 TorcUS 33.5 ▲ +2.8 MotionalUS 32.8 ▼ -0.2 Bot AutoUS 30.2 ▼ -11.9 AvrideUS 29.9 ▲ +1.0 WaabiCA 29.4 ▲ +1.1 MomentaCN 28.8 ▼ -15.3 MobileyeIL 28.4 ▼ -18.9 MOIA AmericaDE 28.1 ▲ +0.6 WayveGB 27.9 ▼ -0.3 VerneHR 22.6 ▲ +1.5 AutobrainsIL 22.1 ▲ +0.4 Stack AVUS 21.9 ▼ -2.7 NuroUS 19.4 ▼ -3.5 PlusAIUS 18.9 ▲ +2.2 Helm.aiUS 17.6 ▲ +0.1 Tensor AutoUS 15.8 ▼ -4.3 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
Autonomy Economy The Road to Autonomy Autonomy Signals Autonomy Markets Autonomy Indices Confidence Indices
New Tesla Model Y - The Road to Autonomy

Tesla Earnings, Waymo’s Announcements and Kodiak’s Historical Milestone

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discussed Tesla’s Q4 earnings, Waymo’s road trip and Kodiak’s historical announcement. It was Tesla this week that captured investors attention as Elon Musk spoke at length about Tesla’s robotaxi plans, licensing FSD and their plans to launch an Airbnb like service for autonomy.

Will Tesla really hit the June 2025 timeline for unsupervised autonomy in Austin, Texas? Anything is possible, but the precedent is that the launch will be delayed, along with a potential nationwide expansion in 2026. Then there is the potential to license FSD (Full Self-Driving), will Tesla really do it and what will the impact be on the global auto industry?

As Tesla works towards full autonomy (unsupervised), Waymo continues to expand. This week Waymo announced that they are taking roadtrips to 10+ markets beginning with San Diego and Las Vegas this year, along with opening the Atlanta market to employees. Additionally, Waymo began offering highway service to employees in Los Angeles.

Then there is Kodiak, which made history this week, becoming the first company to sell an autonomous truck to a third party—Atlas Energy. The episode concludes with discussion of Zoox’s challenges in the competitive autonomous vehicle market, particularly in Las Vegas and San Francisco.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:00 Secretary Sean Duffy
  • 2:59 Washington Post: If Self-Driving Cars are Safer than the Alternative, What’s to Lose?
  • 7:02 Tesla Q4 2024 Earnings
  • 9:28 FSD Unsupervised Launch
  • 13:58 Capital Markets & Analysts
  • 16:48 LiDAR Narrative
  • 21:30 Licensing Tesla FSD
  • 26:20 FSD is Coming to Semi
  • 28:51 Kodiak Makes History
  • 31:28 Tesla Cortex Training Cluster
  • 32:32 Waymo Goes Fully Autonomous on LA Freeways (Employees Only)
  • 35:21 Waymo Opens Atlanta to Employees
  • 37:29 Waymo’s 10 City Road Trip
  • 41:06 Zoox
  • 45:06 Super Bowl
  • 46:09 Next Week
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 06:00 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
06
Tesla
$TSLA
44.1/100
▼ -0.57-Day
▲ +1.230-Day
Composite Factors
Operations36
Scale42
Revenue25
Commercial55
Manufacturing95
Safety38
OMEGA's Take

Tesla ranks #6 in The Road to Autonomy Robotaxi Index with a composite score of 44.1, supported by a manufacturing sub-index of 95.0. The company reported nearly 2.5 million cumulative paid miles through Q2 2026 across its expanding operational footprint.

Composite History
146 Snapshots
View Tesla Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 06:00 UTC · 2026-08-12Leaf 400a843921aea8acCadence 12HEmbed

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