Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.9 ▲ +0.4 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 36.8 ▲ +0.6 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.4 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.9 ▼ +0.1 WaymoUS 80.3 ▲ +2.6 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.1 ▼ -2.4 NeolixCN 64.3 ▲ +1.5 Starship TechnologiesEE 63.8 ▼ -5.6 Pony.aiCN 62.3 ▲ +0.3 Serve RoboticsUS 58.5 ▼ -3.9 WeRideCN 58.0 – 0.0 KodiakUS 57.3 ▲ +4.6 CocoUS 50.9 ▼ -3.2 Applied IntuitionUS 50.3 ▼ -3.6 AuroraUS 49.5 ▼ -6.0 MobileyeIL 47.2 ▲ +10.6 TeslaUS 45.6 ▲ +2.6 XPengCN 45.0 ▲ +6.8 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 43.8 ▲ +0.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 43.3 ▲ +7.8 Bot AutoUS 41.1 ▼ -0.9 MeituanCN 39.5 ▼ -4.6 DeepRoute.aiCN 38.0 ▼ -6.4 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 37.8 ▼ -13.1 ZooxUS 37.7 ▼ -0.5 May MobilityUS 33.6 ▲ +0.6 MotionalUS 33.1 ▲ +0.2 MomentaCN 32.4 ▼ -4.0 DoorDash DotUS 32.3 ▲ +3.5 AvrideUS 29.7 ▼ -3.0 Avride PodUS 29.6 ▲ +1.6 TorcUS 29.4 ▲ +0.1 WaabiCA 29.2 ▼ -3.2 MOIA AmericaDE 27.1 ▲ +1.3 WayveGB 26.7 ▼ -0.8 VerneHR 22.4 ▼ -1.1 AutobrainsIL 21.3 ▼ -0.5 NuroUS 20.6 ▲ +0.9 PlusAIUS 18.1 ▲ +1.0 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.6 Stack AVUS 17.3 ▼ -4.1 Tensor AutoUS 14.6 ▼ -4.9 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.9 ▲ +0.4 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 36.8 ▲ +0.6 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.4 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.9 ▼ +0.1 WaymoUS 80.3 ▲ +2.6 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.1 ▼ -2.4 NeolixCN 64.3 ▲ +1.5 Starship TechnologiesEE 63.8 ▼ -5.6 Pony.aiCN 62.3 ▲ +0.3 Serve RoboticsUS 58.5 ▼ -3.9 WeRideCN 58.0 – 0.0 KodiakUS 57.3 ▲ +4.6 CocoUS 50.9 ▼ -3.2 Applied IntuitionUS 50.3 ▼ -3.6 AuroraUS 49.5 ▼ -6.0 MobileyeIL 47.2 ▲ +10.6 TeslaUS 45.6 ▲ +2.6 XPengCN 45.0 ▲ +6.8 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 43.8 ▲ +0.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 43.3 ▲ +7.8 Bot AutoUS 41.1 ▼ -0.9 MeituanCN 39.5 ▼ -4.6 DeepRoute.aiCN 38.0 ▼ -6.4 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 37.8 ▼ -13.1 ZooxUS 37.7 ▼ -0.5 May MobilityUS 33.6 ▲ +0.6 MotionalUS 33.1 ▲ +0.2 MomentaCN 32.4 ▼ -4.0 DoorDash DotUS 32.3 ▲ +3.5 AvrideUS 29.7 ▼ -3.0 Avride PodUS 29.6 ▲ +1.6 TorcUS 29.4 ▲ +0.1 WaabiCA 29.2 ▼ -3.2 MOIA AmericaDE 27.1 ▲ +1.3 WayveGB 26.7 ▼ -0.8 VerneHR 22.4 ▼ -1.1 AutobrainsIL 21.3 ▼ -0.5 NuroUS 20.6 ▲ +0.9 PlusAIUS 18.1 ▲ +1.0 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.6 Stack AVUS 17.3 ▼ -4.1 Tensor AutoUS 14.6 ▼ -4.9 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
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New Tesla Model Y - The Road to Autonomy

Tesla Earnings, Waymo’s Announcements and Kodiak’s Historical Milestone

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discussed Tesla’s Q4 earnings, Waymo’s road trip and Kodiak’s historical announcement. It was Tesla this week that captured investors attention as Elon Musk spoke at length about Tesla’s robotaxi plans, licensing FSD and their plans to launch an Airbnb like service for autonomy.

Will Tesla really hit the June 2025 timeline for unsupervised autonomy in Austin, Texas? Anything is possible, but the precedent is that the launch will be delayed, along with a potential nationwide expansion in 2026. Then there is the potential to license FSD (Full Self-Driving), will Tesla really do it and what will the impact be on the global auto industry?

As Tesla works towards full autonomy (unsupervised), Waymo continues to expand. This week Waymo announced that they are taking roadtrips to 10+ markets beginning with San Diego and Las Vegas this year, along with opening the Atlanta market to employees. Additionally, Waymo began offering highway service to employees in Los Angeles.

Then there is Kodiak, which made history this week, becoming the first company to sell an autonomous truck to a third party—Atlas Energy. The episode concludes with discussion of Zoox’s challenges in the competitive autonomous vehicle market, particularly in Las Vegas and San Francisco.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:00 Secretary Sean Duffy
  • 2:59 Washington Post: If Self-Driving Cars are Safer than the Alternative, What’s to Lose?
  • 7:02 Tesla Q4 2024 Earnings
  • 9:28 FSD Unsupervised Launch
  • 13:58 Capital Markets & Analysts
  • 16:48 LiDAR Narrative
  • 21:30 Licensing Tesla FSD
  • 26:20 FSD is Coming to Semi
  • 28:51 Kodiak Makes History
  • 31:28 Tesla Cortex Training Cluster
  • 32:32 Waymo Goes Fully Autonomous on LA Freeways (Employees Only)
  • 35:21 Waymo Opens Atlanta to Employees
  • 37:29 Waymo’s 10 City Road Trip
  • 41:06 Zoox
  • 45:06 Super Bowl
  • 46:09 Next Week
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 06:01 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
05
Tesla
$TSLA
45.6/100
▲ +2.67-Day
▼ -3.830-Day
Composite Factors
Operations39
Scale48
Revenue21
Commercial55
Manufacturing95
Safety38
OMEGA's Take

Tesla ranks #5 in The Road to Autonomy Robotaxi Index with a composite score of 45.6, backed by a manufacturing sub-index rating of 95.0. Cumulative supervised driving distance in South Korea reached 50,000,000 km according to disclosures on August 21, 2026.

Composite History
176 Snapshots
View Tesla Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 06:01 UTC · 2026-08-27Leaf ff2bb4eb8c192f7dCadence 12HEmbed

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