Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 62.6 ▼ -0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 45.1 – 0.0 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.1 ▲ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 59.0 – 0.0 Baidu Apollo GoCN 87.8 ▲ +0.1 WaymoUS 85.8 ▼ -2.3 Pony.aiCN 79.5 ▼ -1.0 WeRideCN 77.5 ▲ +0.3 NeolixCN 73.6 – 0.0 Starship TechnologiesEE 66.8 ▲ +0.2 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 63.6 ▼ -2.0 TeslaUS 63.0 ▼ -1.9 Serve RoboticsUS 61.5 ▲ +4.3 May MobilityUS 60.4 ▲ +3.3 KodiakUS 58.4 ▲ +3.1 MobileyeIL 56.5 ▲ +4.7 XPengCN 56.0 ▼ -7.1 MomentaCN 55.2 ▲ +2.6 CocoUS 54.8 ▲ +0.8 MeituanCN 53.6 – 0.0 Applied IntuitionUS 52.3 ▼ -1.0 ZooxUS 51.8 ▼ -0.3 AuroraUS 51.4 ▲ +3.4 DoorDash DotUS 49.1 ▲ +1.0 DeepRoute.aiCN 48.6 ▲ +3.0 Bot AutoUS 42.0 ▼ -2.4 Avride PodUS 41.1 ▲ +1.1 Cao Cao MobilityCN 40.7 ▼ -19.2 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 39.0 ▲ +0.6 VerneHR 37.5 ▼ -8.6 WaabiCA 36.3 ▼ -2.5 MotionalUS 33.6 ▲ +2.6 WayveGB 32.1 ▲ +1.1 AvrideUS 31.9 ▼ -0.4 TorcUS 31.3 – 0.0 MOIA AmericaDE 30.9 ▼ -0.5 Tensor AutoUS 26.9 ▼ -1.9 NuroUS 23.8 ▲ +1.9 AutobrainsIL 22.4 ▼ -0.2 Stack AVUS 21.7 – 0.0 Helm.aiUS 19.3 – 0.0 PlusAIUS 17.3 – 0.0 HUMAINSA 3.9 ▲ +0.8 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 62.6 ▼ -0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 45.1 – 0.0 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.1 ▲ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 59.0 – 0.0 Baidu Apollo GoCN 87.8 ▲ +0.1 WaymoUS 85.8 ▼ -2.3 Pony.aiCN 79.5 ▼ -1.0 WeRideCN 77.5 ▲ +0.3 NeolixCN 73.6 – 0.0 Starship TechnologiesEE 66.8 ▲ +0.2 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 63.6 ▼ -2.0 TeslaUS 63.0 ▼ -1.9 Serve RoboticsUS 61.5 ▲ +4.3 May MobilityUS 60.4 ▲ +3.3 KodiakUS 58.4 ▲ +3.1 MobileyeIL 56.5 ▲ +4.7 XPengCN 56.0 ▼ -7.1 MomentaCN 55.2 ▲ +2.6 CocoUS 54.8 ▲ +0.8 MeituanCN 53.6 – 0.0 Applied IntuitionUS 52.3 ▼ -1.0 ZooxUS 51.8 ▼ -0.3 AuroraUS 51.4 ▲ +3.4 DoorDash DotUS 49.1 ▲ +1.0 DeepRoute.aiCN 48.6 ▲ +3.0 Bot AutoUS 42.0 ▼ -2.4 Avride PodUS 41.1 ▲ +1.1 Cao Cao MobilityCN 40.7 ▼ -19.2 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 39.0 ▲ +0.6 VerneHR 37.5 ▼ -8.6 WaabiCA 36.3 ▼ -2.5 MotionalUS 33.6 ▲ +2.6 WayveGB 32.1 ▲ +1.1 AvrideUS 31.9 ▼ -0.4 TorcUS 31.3 – 0.0 MOIA AmericaDE 30.9 ▼ -0.5 Tensor AutoUS 26.9 ▼ -1.9 NuroUS 23.8 ▲ +1.9 AutobrainsIL 22.4 ▼ -0.2 Stack AVUS 21.7 – 0.0 Helm.aiUS 19.3 – 0.0 PlusAIUS 17.3 – 0.0 HUMAINSA 3.9 ▲ +0.8
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Self-Driving Car on The Moon - The Road to Autonomy

Self-Driving Cars on the Moon Before New York City?

This week on Autonomy Signals, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss the Artemis II mission, Amazon’s coordinated embodied AI acquisitions, HD Hyundai’s Avikus DNV maritime autonomy certification from Norway, and declining AI bubble odds on Polymarket.

NASA’s Artemis II crew traveled 252,756 miles from Earth, surpassing Apollo 13 by over 4,000 miles. An achievement that is extraordinary in itself. AUTNMY AI‘s proprietary OMEGA algorithm identified the mission as a human supervised automation event, not a fully autonomous one, creating a semantic conflation risk as the market is mispricing how autonomous the program truly is today.

With Artemis III scheduled for 2028 and self-driving lunar terrain vehicles part of the mission, autonomous vehicles will most likely be operating on the moon before New York City due to New York State and City policy. The constraint is policy, not technology.

Amazon’s simultaneous acquisition of Fauna Robotics and RIVR is a coordinated platform play to acquire real world interaction data at a moment of physical AI data scarcity. While Amazon made acquisitions, BMW deployed a Hexagon wheeled humanoid on its German production line, and Figure AI said they can assemble a humanoid in 90 minutes, with consolidation emerging as the defining structural trend in embodied AI.

From embodied AI to maritime autonomy, the autonomy economy is beginning to take shape. HD Hyundai’s HiNAS navigation system recently received DNV type approval from Norway, enabling fully autonomous commercial vessel operations as the risk of NVIDIA moving into maritime autonomy and vertically integrating lingers.

Polymarket AI bubble odds declined to 19%. With OMEGA assesses that the bubble framing is wrong. The operative risk is which layer of the stack survives the transition from speculative deployment to industrial accountability.

Episode Chapters

  • 00:00 AUTNMY AI
  • 01:10 Signal 1: Artemis || Launch and the Autonomy Gap
  • 25:21 Signal 2: Early Signs of Embodied AI Consolidation
  • 57:12 Signal 3: Maritime Autonomy
  • 01:16:46 Signal 4: Polymarket AI Bubble Odds Decline to 19%
  • 01:23:39 Closing
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 06:00 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
02
Waymo
$GOOGL (Parent)UberLyft
85.8/100
▼ -2.37-Day
▲ +1.430-Day
Composite Factors
Operations99▲
Scale95▲
Revenue85–
Commercial75▼
Manufacturing48▼
Safety87▲
OMEGA's Take

Waymo ranks #2 in The Road to Autonomy Robotaxi Index with a composite score of 85.8, operating across 14 commercial markets. The company expanded its operational footprint across five cities in November 2026, adding nearly 250 square miles of new territory spanning Los Angeles, Nashville, Orlando, San Diego, and parts of the San Francisco South Bay.

Composite History
331 Snapshots
View Waymo Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 06:00 UTC · 2026-11-12Leaf b5b6b087a5917b42Cadence 12HEmbed
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