Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 49.5 ▼ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 31.6 ▼ +3.0 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.4 ▲ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 57.6 ▼ +0.9 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.1 ▼ -1.5 WaymoUS 77.7 ▲ +0.6 Starship TechnologiesEE 70.6 ▲ +2.5 NeolixCN 62.1 ▼ -2.5 Pony.aiCN 61.0 ▲ +3.3 Serve RoboticsUS 60.5 ▼ -0.8 KodiakUS 56.6 ▲ +1.2 WeRideCN 54.2 ▼ -2.4 CocoUS 54.1 ▲ +10.4 AuroraUS 52.2 ▼ -4.8 MeituanCN 44.6 ▼ -21.3 TeslaUS 43.9 ▼ -0.7 Avride PodUS 41.3 ▲ +2.1 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 41.2 ▼ -1.8 ZooxUS 40.2 ▲ +1.7 Cao Cao MobilityCN 39.8 ▼ -1.7 Bot AutoUS 38.9 ▼ -2.0 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 36.4 ▼ -2.4 May MobilityUS 35.0 ▲ +2.4 WaabiCA 33.1 ▲ +2.4 MotionalUS 32.8 ▲ +0.5 AvrideUS 31.7 ▼ -2.5 TorcUS 31.3 ▼ -6.2 DoorDash DotUS 30.6 ▲ +3.6 MobileyeIL 30.3 ▼ -18.0 WayveGB 28.1 ▼ -2.2 MomentaCN 27.2 ▼ -5.6 VerneHR 24.0 ▲ +3.5 AutobrainsIL 22.5 ▲ +0.5 XPengCN 21.4 ▼ -18.6 MOIA AmericaDE 21.2 ▼ -3.8 Stack AVUS 20.2 ▼ -2.3 NuroUS 19.7 ▼ -3.1 DeepRoute.aiCN 17.1 ▼ -34.9 Helm.aiUS 16.8 ▼ -1.0 PlusAIUS 16.1 ▼ -1.1 Tensor AutoUS 16.0 ▼ -2.2 Applied IntuitionUS 13.7 ▼ -44.2 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 49.5 ▼ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 31.6 ▼ +3.0 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.4 ▲ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 57.6 ▼ +0.9 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.1 ▼ -1.5 WaymoUS 77.7 ▲ +0.6 Starship TechnologiesEE 70.6 ▲ +2.5 NeolixCN 62.1 ▼ -2.5 Pony.aiCN 61.0 ▲ +3.3 Serve RoboticsUS 60.5 ▼ -0.8 KodiakUS 56.6 ▲ +1.2 WeRideCN 54.2 ▼ -2.4 CocoUS 54.1 ▲ +10.4 AuroraUS 52.2 ▼ -4.8 MeituanCN 44.6 ▼ -21.3 TeslaUS 43.9 ▼ -0.7 Avride PodUS 41.3 ▲ +2.1 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 41.2 ▼ -1.8 ZooxUS 40.2 ▲ +1.7 Cao Cao MobilityCN 39.8 ▼ -1.7 Bot AutoUS 38.9 ▼ -2.0 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 36.4 ▼ -2.4 May MobilityUS 35.0 ▲ +2.4 WaabiCA 33.1 ▲ +2.4 MotionalUS 32.8 ▲ +0.5 AvrideUS 31.7 ▼ -2.5 TorcUS 31.3 ▼ -6.2 DoorDash DotUS 30.6 ▲ +3.6 MobileyeIL 30.3 ▼ -18.0 WayveGB 28.1 ▼ -2.2 MomentaCN 27.2 ▼ -5.6 VerneHR 24.0 ▲ +3.5 AutobrainsIL 22.5 ▲ +0.5 XPengCN 21.4 ▼ -18.6 MOIA AmericaDE 21.2 ▼ -3.8 Stack AVUS 20.2 ▼ -2.3 NuroUS 19.7 ▼ -3.1 DeepRoute.aiCN 17.1 ▼ -34.9 Helm.aiUS 16.8 ▼ -1.0 PlusAIUS 16.1 ▼ -1.1 Tensor AutoUS 16.0 ▼ -2.2 Applied IntuitionUS 13.7 ▼ -44.2 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
Autonomy Economy The Road to Autonomy Autonomy Signals Autonomy Markets Autonomy Indices Confidence Indices
Self-Driving Car on The Moon - The Road to Autonomy

Self-Driving Cars on the Moon Before New York City?

This week on Autonomy Signals, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss the Artemis II mission, Amazon’s coordinated embodied AI acquisitions, HD Hyundai’s Avikus DNV maritime autonomy certification from Norway, and declining AI bubble odds on Polymarket.

NASA’s Artemis II crew traveled 252,756 miles from Earth, surpassing Apollo 13 by over 4,000 miles. An achievement that is extraordinary in itself. AUTNMY AI‘s proprietary OMEGA algorithm identified the mission as a human supervised automation event, not a fully autonomous one, creating a semantic conflation risk as the market is mispricing how autonomous the program truly is today.

With Artemis III scheduled for 2028 and self-driving lunar terrain vehicles part of the mission, autonomous vehicles will most likely be operating on the moon before New York City due to New York State and City policy. The constraint is policy, not technology.

Amazon’s simultaneous acquisition of Fauna Robotics and RIVR is a coordinated platform play to acquire real world interaction data at a moment of physical AI data scarcity. While Amazon made acquisitions, BMW deployed a Hexagon wheeled humanoid on its German production line, and Figure AI said they can assemble a humanoid in 90 minutes, with consolidation emerging as the defining structural trend in embodied AI.

From embodied AI to maritime autonomy, the autonomy economy is beginning to take shape. HD Hyundai’s HiNAS navigation system recently received DNV type approval from Norway, enabling fully autonomous commercial vessel operations as the risk of NVIDIA moving into maritime autonomy and vertically integrating lingers.

Polymarket AI bubble odds declined to 19%. With OMEGA assesses that the bubble framing is wrong. The operative risk is which layer of the stack survives the transition from speculative deployment to industrial accountability.

Episode Chapters

  • 00:00 AUTNMY AI
  • 01:10 Signal 1: Artemis || Launch and the Autonomy Gap
  • 25:21 Signal 2: Early Signs of Embodied AI Consolidation
  • 57:12 Signal 3: Maritime Autonomy
  • 01:16:46 Signal 4: Polymarket AI Bubble Odds Decline to 19%
  • 01:23:39 Closing
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 18:00 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
02
Waymo
$GOOGL (Parent)UberLyft
77.7/100
▲ +0.67-Day
▼ -2.630-Day
Composite Factors
Operations77
Scale94
Revenue85
Commercial74
Manufacturing25
Safety86
OMEGA's Take

Waymo ranks #2 in The Road to Autonomy Robotaxi Index with a composite score of 77.7, backed by strong scale and safety sub-index metrics. The company maintains commercial operations across eleven driver-out cities spanning Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, Nashville, Orlando, Phoenix, San Antonio, and the San Francisco Bay Area.

Composite History
139 Snapshots
View Waymo Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 18:00 UTC · 2026-08-08Leaf 270f1a608610dcf8Cadence 12HEmbed
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The future is bright. The future is autonomous. The future is The Road to Autonomy.

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