Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 51.4 ▲ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 37.5 – 0.0 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.5 ▲ +0.1 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.3 ▼ +0.3 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.6 ▼ -1.9 WaymoUS 77.0 ▼ -0.3 Pony.aiCN 68.3 ▲ +7.8 Starship TechnologiesEE 67.5 ▼ -4.6 Serve RoboticsUS 62.6 ▲ +1.5 NeolixCN 58.8 ▼ -7.5 Applied IntuitionUS 57.5 ▲ +7.5 WeRideCN 57.3 ▼ -5.4 AuroraUS 55.7 ▼ -3.8 KodiakUS 55.7 ▲ +3.1 CocoUS 53.3 ▼ -5.2 TeslaUS 47.3 ▲ +4.0 MomentaCN 44.1 ▲ +9.7 DeepRoute.aiCN 42.2 ▼ -1.8 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 41.1 ▼ -6.5 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 40.3 ▼ -3.9 Cao Cao MobilityCN 38.7 ▲ +1.5 ZooxUS 38.5 ▲ +1.3 XPengCN 37.8 ▼ -4.5 Bot AutoUS 37.5 ▼ -0.2 MeituanCN 34.2 ▼ -7.6 May MobilityUS 32.9 ▼ -0.4 MotionalUS 32.8 ▲ +0.8 AvrideUS 32.3 ▲ +0.1 WaabiCA 32.1 ▼ -1.0 MobileyeIL 31.9 ▼ -14.7 Avride PodUS 31.7 ▲ +1.1 WayveGB 27.8 ▲ +0.1 TorcUS 27.1 ▼ -2.4 DoorDash DotUS 26.6 ▼ -5.9 MOIA AmericaDE 26.5 ▲ +0.7 VerneHR 25.9 ▲ +2.4 Stack AVUS 23.9 ▲ +1.3 AutobrainsIL 21.6 ▲ +0.1 NuroUS 19.8 ▲ +0.4 PlusAIUS 18.8 – 0.0 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.5 Tensor AutoUS 17.0 ▼ -2.0 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 51.4 ▲ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 37.5 – 0.0 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.5 ▲ +0.1 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.3 ▼ +0.3 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.6 ▼ -1.9 WaymoUS 77.0 ▼ -0.3 Pony.aiCN 68.3 ▲ +7.8 Starship TechnologiesEE 67.5 ▼ -4.6 Serve RoboticsUS 62.6 ▲ +1.5 NeolixCN 58.8 ▼ -7.5 Applied IntuitionUS 57.5 ▲ +7.5 WeRideCN 57.3 ▼ -5.4 AuroraUS 55.7 ▼ -3.8 KodiakUS 55.7 ▲ +3.1 CocoUS 53.3 ▼ -5.2 TeslaUS 47.3 ▲ +4.0 MomentaCN 44.1 ▲ +9.7 DeepRoute.aiCN 42.2 ▼ -1.8 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 41.1 ▼ -6.5 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 40.3 ▼ -3.9 Cao Cao MobilityCN 38.7 ▲ +1.5 ZooxUS 38.5 ▲ +1.3 XPengCN 37.8 ▼ -4.5 Bot AutoUS 37.5 ▼ -0.2 MeituanCN 34.2 ▼ -7.6 May MobilityUS 32.9 ▼ -0.4 MotionalUS 32.8 ▲ +0.8 AvrideUS 32.3 ▲ +0.1 WaabiCA 32.1 ▼ -1.0 MobileyeIL 31.9 ▼ -14.7 Avride PodUS 31.7 ▲ +1.1 WayveGB 27.8 ▲ +0.1 TorcUS 27.1 ▼ -2.4 DoorDash DotUS 26.6 ▼ -5.9 MOIA AmericaDE 26.5 ▲ +0.7 VerneHR 25.9 ▲ +2.4 Stack AVUS 23.9 ▲ +1.3 AutobrainsIL 21.6 ▲ +0.1 NuroUS 19.8 ▲ +0.4 PlusAIUS 18.8 – 0.0 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.5 Tensor AutoUS 17.0 ▼ -2.0 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
Autonomy Economy The Road to Autonomy Autonomy Signals Autonomy Markets Autonomy Indices Confidence Indices
New Tesla Model Y - The Road to Autonomy

Tesla Earnings, Waymo’s Announcements and Kodiak’s Historical Milestone

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discussed Tesla’s Q4 earnings, Waymo’s road trip and Kodiak’s historical announcement. It was Tesla this week that captured investors attention as Elon Musk spoke at length about Tesla’s robotaxi plans, licensing FSD and their plans to launch an Airbnb like service for autonomy.

Will Tesla really hit the June 2025 timeline for unsupervised autonomy in Austin, Texas? Anything is possible, but the precedent is that the launch will be delayed, along with a potential nationwide expansion in 2026. Then there is the potential to license FSD (Full Self-Driving), will Tesla really do it and what will the impact be on the global auto industry?

As Tesla works towards full autonomy (unsupervised), Waymo continues to expand. This week Waymo announced that they are taking roadtrips to 10+ markets beginning with San Diego and Las Vegas this year, along with opening the Atlanta market to employees. Additionally, Waymo began offering highway service to employees in Los Angeles.

Then there is Kodiak, which made history this week, becoming the first company to sell an autonomous truck to a third party—Atlas Energy. The episode concludes with discussion of Zoox’s challenges in the competitive autonomous vehicle market, particularly in Las Vegas and San Francisco.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:00 Secretary Sean Duffy
  • 2:59 Washington Post: If Self-Driving Cars are Safer than the Alternative, What’s to Lose?
  • 7:02 Tesla Q4 2024 Earnings
  • 9:28 FSD Unsupervised Launch
  • 13:58 Capital Markets & Analysts
  • 16:48 LiDAR Narrative
  • 21:30 Licensing Tesla FSD
  • 26:20 FSD is Coming to Semi
  • 28:51 Kodiak Makes History
  • 31:28 Tesla Cortex Training Cluster
  • 32:32 Waymo Goes Fully Autonomous on LA Freeways (Employees Only)
  • 35:21 Waymo Opens Atlanta to Employees
  • 37:29 Waymo’s 10 City Road Trip
  • 41:06 Zoox
  • 45:06 Super Bowl
  • 46:09 Next Week
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 18:00 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
05
Tesla
$TSLA
47.3/100
▲ +4.07-Day
▲ +3.330-Day
Composite Factors
Operations44
Scale45
Revenue25
Commercial57
Manufacturing95
Safety39
OMEGA's Take

Tesla ranks #5 in The Road to Autonomy Robotaxi Index with a composite score of 47.3. The operator has expanded its robotaxi footprint to include Austin, Texas, Houston, Texas, and Dallas, Texas, recording nearly 1.5 million paid customers globally by July 2026.

Composite History
169 Snapshots
View Tesla Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 18:00 UTC · 2026-08-23Leaf 53389e2f48faf7e0Cadence 12HEmbed

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