Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.0 ▼ +0.3 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 33.6 ▼ +0.1 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 33.4 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 57.3 ▼ +1.3 WaymoUS 81.7 ▲ +2.5 Baidu Apollo GoCN 79.3 ▼ -1.0 NeolixCN 73.5 ▼ -3.7 Starship TechnologiesEE 68.2 ▼ -7.3 Serve RoboticsUS 67.8 ▲ +6.3 Pony.aiCN 67.6 ▲ +5.9 WeRideCN 60.8 ▲ +6.6 KodiakUS 45.6 ▼ -3.2 CocoUS 44.9 ▲ +6.1 TeslaUS 43.1 ▲ +2.4 MeituanCN 43.0 ▲ +1.7 AuroraUS 42.4 ▲ +4.7 Applied IntuitionUS 42.1 ▼ -4.0 Avride PodUS 41.8 ▲ +8.1 ZooxUS 39.2 ▼ -12.8 MomentaCN 35.9 ▼ -5.2 DoorDash DotUS 35.8 ▼ -0.1 DeepRoute.aiCN 35.4 ▼ -1.4 MobileyeIL 34.1 ▲ +4.9 Bot AutoUS 33.3 ▼ -2.3 MotionalUS 32.5 ▲ +1.2 May MobilityUS 32.3 ▲ +0.1 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 31.8 ▲ +1.4 AvrideUS 31.6 ▼ -1.0 XPengCN 31.6 ▲ +8.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 29.2 ▲ +0.1 TorcUS 26.9 ▲ +2.6 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 26.8 ▲ +0.5 VerneHR 25.6 ▲ +5.5 WayveGB 24.9 ▼ -0.7 AutobrainsIL 22.2 ▲ +0.7 MOIA AmericaDE 21.8 ▲ +2.1 NuroUS 19.9 ▼ -1.7 WaabiCA 19.8 ▼ -1.1 Helm.aiUS 17.8 ▼ -0.7 Stack AVUS 15.9 ▲ +2.6 Tensor AutoUS 15.8 ▲ +1.2 PlusAIUS 14.4 ▼ -0.4 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.0 ▼ +0.3 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 33.6 ▼ +0.1 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 33.4 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 57.3 ▼ +1.3 WaymoUS 81.7 ▲ +2.5 Baidu Apollo GoCN 79.3 ▼ -1.0 NeolixCN 73.5 ▼ -3.7 Starship TechnologiesEE 68.2 ▼ -7.3 Serve RoboticsUS 67.8 ▲ +6.3 Pony.aiCN 67.6 ▲ +5.9 WeRideCN 60.8 ▲ +6.6 KodiakUS 45.6 ▼ -3.2 CocoUS 44.9 ▲ +6.1 TeslaUS 43.1 ▲ +2.4 MeituanCN 43.0 ▲ +1.7 AuroraUS 42.4 ▲ +4.7 Applied IntuitionUS 42.1 ▼ -4.0 Avride PodUS 41.8 ▲ +8.1 ZooxUS 39.2 ▼ -12.8 MomentaCN 35.9 ▼ -5.2 DoorDash DotUS 35.8 ▼ -0.1 DeepRoute.aiCN 35.4 ▼ -1.4 MobileyeIL 34.1 ▲ +4.9 Bot AutoUS 33.3 ▼ -2.3 MotionalUS 32.5 ▲ +1.2 May MobilityUS 32.3 ▲ +0.1 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 31.8 ▲ +1.4 AvrideUS 31.6 ▼ -1.0 XPengCN 31.6 ▲ +8.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 29.2 ▲ +0.1 TorcUS 26.9 ▲ +2.6 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 26.8 ▲ +0.5 VerneHR 25.6 ▲ +5.5 WayveGB 24.9 ▼ -0.7 AutobrainsIL 22.2 ▲ +0.7 MOIA AmericaDE 21.8 ▲ +2.1 NuroUS 19.9 ▼ -1.7 WaabiCA 19.8 ▼ -1.1 Helm.aiUS 17.8 ▼ -0.7 Stack AVUS 15.9 ▲ +2.6 Tensor AutoUS 15.8 ▲ +1.2 PlusAIUS 14.4 ▼ -0.4 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
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Waymo Needs Fewer Robotaxis Than You Think - The Road to Autonomy

Waymo Needs Fewer Robotaxis Than You Think and Tesla’s California Dreams

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss why Waymo needs fewer robotaxis than you think and Tesla’s emerging plans for a robotaxi network in California.

Waymo continues to scale, surpassing 200,000 paid weekly rides across Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Phoenix. As the service grows, a group of power riders has emerged, including one rider in San Francisco spending over $900 a month on Waymo rides.

In California, Waymo now operates a fleet over 730 autonomous vehicles, while Tesla currently operates zero. That is about to change as Tesla has applied for a transportation charter-party carrier permit from the California Public Utilities Commission, the same permit Waymo currently operates under.

If Tesla secures the permit, it will be able to launch a robotaxi service in California, but with two major caveats—fleets and safety drivers. At launch, Tesla owners won’t be able to add their vehicles to the network.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:00 Waymo’s Growing Weekly Paid Rides
  • 3:23 Waymo’s Fleet Efficiency
  • 9:10 Waymo Power Users
  • 12:01 Waymo’s Consistent Rider Experience
  • 15:17 Tesla Launches Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China
  • 16:30 Tesla’s Pending California Robotaxi Network
  • 19:58 Tesla / Waymo Competition
  • 22:24 Tesla Will Not License FSD
  • 26:00 Autonomous Vehicle Policy
  • 28:55 Wall Street’s View on Autonomy
  • 32:04 Unforced Error of The Week
  • 36:30 Next Week
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 18:00 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
01
Waymo
$GOOGL (Parent)UberLyft
81.7/100
▲ +2.57-Day
▲ +4.830-Day
Composite Factors
Operations79
Scale95
Revenue87
Commercial82
Manufacturing39
Safety90
OMEGA's Take

Waymo continues to scale its commercial operations, announcing on July 8, 2026, the expansion of its fully autonomous robotaxi service into Las Vegas, Denver, San Diego, and Tampa. This growth follows the company's established presence across 11 commercial cities, where it provides public rider access through the Waymo One platform.

Composite History
95 Snapshots
View Waymo Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 18:00 UTC · 2026-07-17Leaf 3b76fae3151ee8e0Cadence 12HEmbed

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