Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.9 ▲ +0.4 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 36.8 ▲ +0.6 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.4 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.9 ▼ +0.1 WaymoUS 80.3 ▲ +2.6 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.1 ▼ -2.4 NeolixCN 64.3 ▲ +1.5 Starship TechnologiesEE 63.8 ▼ -5.6 Pony.aiCN 62.3 ▲ +0.3 Serve RoboticsUS 58.5 ▼ -3.9 WeRideCN 58.0 – 0.0 KodiakUS 57.3 ▲ +4.6 CocoUS 50.9 ▼ -3.2 Applied IntuitionUS 50.3 ▼ -3.6 AuroraUS 49.5 ▼ -6.0 MobileyeIL 47.2 ▲ +10.6 TeslaUS 45.6 ▲ +2.6 XPengCN 45.0 ▲ +6.8 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 43.8 ▲ +0.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 43.3 ▲ +7.8 Bot AutoUS 41.1 ▼ -0.9 MeituanCN 39.5 ▼ -4.6 DeepRoute.aiCN 38.0 ▼ -6.4 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 37.8 ▼ -13.1 ZooxUS 37.7 ▼ -0.5 May MobilityUS 33.6 ▲ +0.6 MotionalUS 33.1 ▲ +0.2 MomentaCN 32.4 ▼ -4.0 DoorDash DotUS 32.3 ▲ +3.5 AvrideUS 29.7 ▼ -3.0 Avride PodUS 29.6 ▲ +1.6 TorcUS 29.4 ▲ +0.1 WaabiCA 29.2 ▼ -3.2 MOIA AmericaDE 27.1 ▲ +1.3 WayveGB 26.7 ▼ -0.8 VerneHR 22.4 ▼ -1.1 AutobrainsIL 21.3 ▼ -0.5 NuroUS 20.6 ▲ +0.9 PlusAIUS 18.1 ▲ +1.0 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.6 Stack AVUS 17.3 ▼ -4.1 Tensor AutoUS 14.6 ▼ -4.9 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.9 ▲ +0.4 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 36.8 ▲ +0.6 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.4 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.9 ▼ +0.1 WaymoUS 80.3 ▲ +2.6 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.1 ▼ -2.4 NeolixCN 64.3 ▲ +1.5 Starship TechnologiesEE 63.8 ▼ -5.6 Pony.aiCN 62.3 ▲ +0.3 Serve RoboticsUS 58.5 ▼ -3.9 WeRideCN 58.0 – 0.0 KodiakUS 57.3 ▲ +4.6 CocoUS 50.9 ▼ -3.2 Applied IntuitionUS 50.3 ▼ -3.6 AuroraUS 49.5 ▼ -6.0 MobileyeIL 47.2 ▲ +10.6 TeslaUS 45.6 ▲ +2.6 XPengCN 45.0 ▲ +6.8 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 43.8 ▲ +0.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 43.3 ▲ +7.8 Bot AutoUS 41.1 ▼ -0.9 MeituanCN 39.5 ▼ -4.6 DeepRoute.aiCN 38.0 ▼ -6.4 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 37.8 ▼ -13.1 ZooxUS 37.7 ▼ -0.5 May MobilityUS 33.6 ▲ +0.6 MotionalUS 33.1 ▲ +0.2 MomentaCN 32.4 ▼ -4.0 DoorDash DotUS 32.3 ▲ +3.5 AvrideUS 29.7 ▼ -3.0 Avride PodUS 29.6 ▲ +1.6 TorcUS 29.4 ▲ +0.1 WaabiCA 29.2 ▼ -3.2 MOIA AmericaDE 27.1 ▲ +1.3 WayveGB 26.7 ▼ -0.8 VerneHR 22.4 ▼ -1.1 AutobrainsIL 21.3 ▼ -0.5 NuroUS 20.6 ▲ +0.9 PlusAIUS 18.1 ▲ +1.0 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.6 Stack AVUS 17.3 ▼ -4.1 Tensor AutoUS 14.6 ▼ -4.9 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
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Tesla Model Y - The Road to Autonomy

Tesla’s Robotaxi Gamble: License FSD to Automakers or Go At It Alone

Pete Bigelow, Senior Reporter, Automotive News joined Grayson Brulte on The Autonomy Economy podcast to discuss Tesla’s robotaxi gamble and the prospects for Tesla to license FSD.

In this wide-ranging conversation, Grayson and Pete dive into the bold promises and ambitious plans surrounding Tesla’s bid to launch CyberCab and a robotaxi service. As Tesla prepares to unveil more details on August 8th, they analyze what it could mean for the future of autonomy and mobility.

Grayson and Pete explore whether Tesla will actually show two separate vehicle models — one with traditional controls (potentially the Model 2) and a fully autonomous version without a steering wheel or pedals. The big questions linger: When will Cybercab realistically deploy commercially? And just how good will the self-driving technology be when it is first deployed?

The rise of Tesla’s robotaxi ambitions has sparked concerns about being Uber being potentially disrupted. But making the economics work with such an expensive vehicle platform remains a huge challenge. Could a Tesla subscription service bundled with incentives make a Tesla robotaxi more accessible?

As the conversation evolves, Grayson and Pete also analyze the strategic options for established automakers and if they should consider licensing Tesla’s self-driving software. Or should they choose to develop their own systems with Nvidia and Qualcomm? Or pursue potential licensing agreements with Cruise, Waymo or Zoox?

Zoox is interesting as the company is planning to launch service in Las Vegas which gives the company unique opportunities to embrace Vegas and create “experiences” such as mobile gambling in partnership with casinos.

Ultimately, the road to Tesla deploying commercial robotaxis at scale remains riddled with technological, regulatory and business model hurdles. But with Tesla all-in on the robotaxi future, the stakes are escalating for the entire auto industry to map out its autonomy strategy.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:10 Tesla CyberCab
  • 2:20 Tesla Mobility Platform
  • 5:14 Tesla Subscription Platform
  • 19:55 Camera Only
  • 23:30 Licensing FSD
  • 35:10 Licensing Cruise, Waymo, Zoox
  • 38:39 NVIDIA & Qualcomm
  • 41:05 Zoox & Casinos
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 06:01 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
05
Tesla
$TSLA
45.6/100
▲ +2.67-Day
▼ -3.830-Day
Composite Factors
Operations39
Scale48
Revenue21
Commercial55
Manufacturing95
Safety38
OMEGA's Take

Tesla ranks #5 in The Road to Autonomy Robotaxi Index with a composite score of 45.6, backed by a manufacturing sub-index rating of 95.0. Cumulative supervised driving distance in South Korea reached 50,000,000 km according to disclosures on August 21, 2026.

Composite History
176 Snapshots
View Tesla Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 06:01 UTC · 2026-08-27Leaf ff2bb4eb8c192f7dCadence 12HEmbed
The future is bright. The future is autonomous. The future is The Road to Autonomy.

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