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.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.8 ▲ +0.4 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 32.8 ▼ +0.4 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.2 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.1 ▼ +0.7 WaymoUS 79.6 ▲ +2.3 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.0 ▼ -1.9 WeRideCN 68.6 ▲ +12.5 Starship TechnologiesEE 67.4 ▲ +2.8 Pony.aiCN 60.5 ▼ -0.8 NeolixCN 56.5 ▼ -4.7 Serve RoboticsUS 52.3 ▼ -9.3 AuroraUS 51.8 ▼ -2.0 KodiakUS 51.3 ▼ -9.3 CocoUS 49.6 ▼ -1.3 Cao Cao MobilityCN 47.0 ▲ +2.8 MeituanCN 45.4 ▲ +0.8 TeslaUS 44.4 ▲ +0.8 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 42.9 ▼ -4.9 Applied IntuitionUS 41.5 ▼ -4.8 DoorDash DotUS 41.4 ▼ -0.8 MomentaCN 40.4 ▲ +2.2 Bot AutoUS 39.9 ▲ +1.5 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 39.8 ▼ -4.1 ZooxUS 38.3 ▼ -1.4 MotionalUS 35.1 ▲ +4.2 Avride PodUS 34.8 ▲ +4.5 AvrideUS 33.9 ▲ +2.2 May MobilityUS 33.5 ▼ -0.6 XPengCN 32.3 ▼ -13.8 DeepRoute.aiCN 32.1 ▼ -1.5 WaabiCA 31.3 ▲ +2.4 TorcUS 30.7 ▼ -2.5 MobileyeIL 29.3 ▼ -4.4 WayveGB 27.3 ▼ -0.7 VerneHR 26.0 ▲ +4.1 MOIA AmericaDE 24.5 ▼ -0.1 AutobrainsIL 22.1 ▲ +0.5 Stack AVUS 21.3 ▲ +2.5 NuroUS 21.1 ▲ +2.1 PlusAIUS 19.8 ▲ +2.8 Tensor AutoUS 19.7 ▲ +4.1 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.5 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 50.8 ▲ +0.4 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 32.8 ▼ +0.4 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.2 ▼ +0.4 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.1 ▼ +0.7 WaymoUS 79.6 ▲ +2.3 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.0 ▼ -1.9 WeRideCN 68.6 ▲ +12.5 Starship TechnologiesEE 67.4 ▲ +2.8 Pony.aiCN 60.5 ▼ -0.8 NeolixCN 56.5 ▼ -4.7 Serve RoboticsUS 52.3 ▼ -9.3 AuroraUS 51.8 ▼ -2.0 KodiakUS 51.3 ▼ -9.3 CocoUS 49.6 ▼ -1.3 Cao Cao MobilityCN 47.0 ▲ +2.8 MeituanCN 45.4 ▲ +0.8 TeslaUS 44.4 ▲ +0.8 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 42.9 ▼ -4.9 Applied IntuitionUS 41.5 ▼ -4.8 DoorDash DotUS 41.4 ▼ -0.8 MomentaCN 40.4 ▲ +2.2 Bot AutoUS 39.9 ▲ +1.5 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 39.8 ▼ -4.1 ZooxUS 38.3 ▼ -1.4 MotionalUS 35.1 ▲ +4.2 Avride PodUS 34.8 ▲ +4.5 AvrideUS 33.9 ▲ +2.2 May MobilityUS 33.5 ▼ -0.6 XPengCN 32.3 ▼ -13.8 DeepRoute.aiCN 32.1 ▼ -1.5 WaabiCA 31.3 ▲ +2.4 TorcUS 30.7 ▼ -2.5 MobileyeIL 29.3 ▼ -4.4 WayveGB 27.3 ▼ -0.7 VerneHR 26.0 ▲ +4.1 MOIA AmericaDE 24.5 ▼ -0.1 AutobrainsIL 22.1 ▲ +0.5 Stack AVUS 21.3 ▲ +2.5 NuroUS 21.1 ▲ +2.1 PlusAIUS 19.8 ▲ +2.8 Tensor AutoUS 19.7 ▲ +4.1 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.5 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
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Autonomous Vehicle Depot - The Road to Autonomy

The Next Autonomous Vehicle M&A Wave Starts Below the Line

Hugh Nguyen, Partner, Automotive Technology & Mobility, KPMG joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss the emerging wave of autonomous vehicle partnerships, the hidden value in fleet operations, and the coming M&A consolidation that will reshape the industry.

As the autonomous vehicle ecosystem accelerates through a phase of rapid partnership formation, the real value lies “below the line” with fleet operations, depot management, safety protocols, and operational expertise that rarely makes headlines.

While the market fixates on vehicle counts and technology partnerships, the proprietary knowledge of how to actually deploy and scale robotaxi operations at profitable unit economics represents the true competitive moat. Hugh predicts the next 18-24 months will see continued partnership proliferation across global markets, followed by strategic consolidation driven not by headline M&A deals, but by precision talent acquisition and operational capability roll-ups.

The winners will be those who control fleet operations, understand regulatory navigation, and can scale profitably. Capabilities that are increasingly attracting investor interest as the industry matures beyond the cult of the founder and towards operational excellence.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:00 Thoughts on the Autonomous Vehicle Market
  • 6:04 Autonomous Vehicle Partnerships
  • 15:31 Emerging M&A Activity
  • 23:48 What Happens When a Partnership Doesn’t Work?
  • 25:47 Autonomous Vehicle Fleet Management
  • 31:45 Autonomous Vehicle Asset Rollup
  • 40:10 The “Passport” Model
  • 47:17 Cult of The Founder
  • 48:54 M&A Outlook
The future is bright. The future is autonomous. The future is The Road to Autonomy.

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