Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 57.8 ▲ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 43.8 ▲ +0.2 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.5 ▼ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 55.4 – 0.0 WaymoUS 85.6 ▲ +1.1 Baidu Apollo GoCN 81.8 ▲ +0.9 WeRideCN 77.1 ▲ +1.8 Starship TechnologiesEE 67.0 ▲ +1.0 NeolixCN 66.4 – 0.0 Pony.aiCN 65.5 ▼ -1.7 Serve RoboticsUS 65.1 ▲ +2.0 XPengCN 59.2 ▼ -4.7 Applied IntuitionUS 55.4 ▼ -0.2 MobileyeIL 54.7 ▲ +14.5 KodiakUS 54.2 ▼ -3.6 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 53.5 ▲ +3.2 TeslaUS 52.7 ▼ -5.1 AuroraUS 52.2 ▲ +0.7 MomentaCN 51.8 ▼ -0.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 51.3 – 0.0 CocoUS 47.4 ▼ -3.7 DeepRoute.aiCN 46.6 ▼ -1.9 DoorDash DotUS 43.9 ▼ -10.2 ZooxUS 43.0 ▲ +1.8 MeituanCN 42.9 – 0.0 May MobilityUS 41.1 ▲ +1.0 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 38.4 – 0.0 AvrideUS 37.1 ▲ +1.5 Avride PodUS 37.0 ▲ +2.3 Bot AutoUS 36.5 – 0.0 MotionalUS 34.0 ▼ -2.5 MOIA AmericaDE 34.0 ▲ +2.9 WaabiCA 33.7 ▲ +1.1 WayveGB 32.8 – 0.0 TorcUS 32.7 ▲ +3.5 Tensor AutoUS 27.8 ▲ +4.0 VerneHR 25.7 ▲ +0.6 AutobrainsIL 22.9 ▲ +0.4 Stack AVUS 21.7 – 0.0 Helm.aiUS 19.3 – 0.0 NuroUS 19.2 ▼ -3.3 PlusAIUS 17.1 – 0.0 HUMAINSA 2.9 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 57.8 ▲ +0.1 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 43.8 ▲ +0.2 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 40.5 ▼ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 55.4 – 0.0 WaymoUS 85.6 ▲ +1.1 Baidu Apollo GoCN 81.8 ▲ +0.9 WeRideCN 77.1 ▲ +1.8 Starship TechnologiesEE 67.0 ▲ +1.0 NeolixCN 66.4 – 0.0 Pony.aiCN 65.5 ▼ -1.7 Serve RoboticsUS 65.1 ▲ +2.0 XPengCN 59.2 ▼ -4.7 Applied IntuitionUS 55.4 ▼ -0.2 MobileyeIL 54.7 ▲ +14.5 KodiakUS 54.2 ▼ -3.6 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 53.5 ▲ +3.2 TeslaUS 52.7 ▼ -5.1 AuroraUS 52.2 ▲ +0.7 MomentaCN 51.8 ▼ -0.6 Cao Cao MobilityCN 51.3 – 0.0 CocoUS 47.4 ▼ -3.7 DeepRoute.aiCN 46.6 ▼ -1.9 DoorDash DotUS 43.9 ▼ -10.2 ZooxUS 43.0 ▲ +1.8 MeituanCN 42.9 – 0.0 May MobilityUS 41.1 ▲ +1.0 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 38.4 – 0.0 AvrideUS 37.1 ▲ +1.5 Avride PodUS 37.0 ▲ +2.3 Bot AutoUS 36.5 – 0.0 MotionalUS 34.0 ▼ -2.5 MOIA AmericaDE 34.0 ▲ +2.9 WaabiCA 33.7 ▲ +1.1 WayveGB 32.8 – 0.0 TorcUS 32.7 ▲ +3.5 Tensor AutoUS 27.8 ▲ +4.0 VerneHR 25.7 ▲ +0.6 AutobrainsIL 22.9 ▲ +0.4 Stack AVUS 21.7 – 0.0 Helm.aiUS 19.3 – 0.0 NuroUS 19.2 ▼ -3.3 PlusAIUS 17.1 – 0.0 HUMAINSA 2.9 – 0.0
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Where's Sterling? - The Road to Autonomy

What’s Going On at Aurora? Why Waymo Needs More Cars, and Has Waymo Cooled on Lyft?

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the abrupt resignation of Aurora Co-Founder Sterling Anderson, why Waymo needs more vehicles and Uber’s continued efforts to fragment the robotaxi market.

Mr. Anderson’s sudden departure sent shockwaves through the industry, raising critical questions about his next move and the potential impact on Aurora’s partnership with Volvo, along with Uber’s reaction. Yet, curiously, none of these questions were raised by analysts on the company’s earnings call, leaving investors and industry insiders to speculate.

Meanwhile, Waymo appears to be scaling faster than its fleet can support. With 1,500 vehicles on the road today and another 2,000 expected by next year, the company has yet to activate highway operations, likely due to the increased wait times it would cause in already constrained markets.

As Uber doubles down on global autonomous vehicle partnerships, Waymo appears to have cooled on Lyft, potently leaving them at a competitive disadvantage.

As Uber aggressively ramps up its global autonomous vehicle partnerships, Waymo appears to have cooled on Lyft, potentially putting Lyft at a growing competitive disadvantage in the evolving autonomy economy.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:00 On The Road
  • 2:03 Sterling Anderson Resigns from Aurora
  • 7:55 Autonomous Trucking Revenue Metrics of Success
  • 9:39 Waymo’s New Factory
  • 12:38 How Many Cars Does Waymo Need in a Market?
  • 15:41 Autonomy Markets On The Road in D.C.
  • 20:30 Growth of Robotaxis on Uber & Lyft
  • 25:48 Is Uber Accelerating the Growth of Chineses AVs in Europe?
  • 30:13 What’s Going on at Zoox?
  • 34:25 Rivian’s Autonomy Ambitions
  • 37:42 Next Week
The Road to Autonomy
Autonomous Trucks Index
Live · Updated 18:01 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
02
Aurora
$AURUber Freight
52.2/100
▲ +0.77-Day
▲ +0.430-Day
Composite Factors
Operations27–
Scale66–
Revenue49–
Commercial76–
Manufacturing41–
Safety73–
OMEGA's Take

Aurora Innovation ranks #2 in The Road to Autonomy Trucks Index with a composite score of 52.2, underpinned by 500,000 driverless miles logged across its SAE Level 4 freight network. During its September 2026 Analyst and Investor Day, the company outlined plans to scale its commercial fleet to more than 30,000 vehicles by 2030.

Composite History
257 Snapshots
View Aurora Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 18:01 UTC · 2026-10-06Leaf 6322c6a403bb0030Cadence 12HEmbed
The future is bright. The future is autonomous. The future is The Road to Autonomy.

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