Live · The Road to Autonomy Indices
.RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 51.3 ▲ +0.5 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 37.5 ▲ +0.7 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.4 ▼ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.6 ▼ +0.2 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.7 ▲ +0.2 WaymoUS 77.2 ▼ -0.7 Starship TechnologiesEE 66.8 ▼ -10.2 Pony.aiCN 66.6 ▲ +5.1 WeRideCN 63.9 ▲ +2.9 NeolixCN 61.0 ▼ -5.2 Serve RoboticsUS 60.5 ▲ +1.0 AuroraUS 59.8 ▲ +7.8 Applied IntuitionUS 55.8 ▲ +7.6 KodiakUS 53.3 ▼ -2.3 CocoUS 52.6 ▼ -5.3 TeslaUS 44.0 ▲ +0.5 Cao Cao MobilityCN 42.8 ▲ +2.2 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 42.7 ▼ -1.4 XPengCN 42.3 ▲ +0.3 MomentaCN 41.3 ▲ +5.7 ZooxUS 40.1 ▲ +3.8 Bot AutoUS 40.1 ▲ +7.0 DeepRoute.aiCN 39.0 ▼ -5.1 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 38.9 ▼ -0.7 MeituanCN 36.6 ▼ -4.9 MobileyeIL 34.5 ▼ -3.7 May MobilityUS 33.7 ▲ +0.6 AvrideUS 32.9 ▲ +1.1 MotionalUS 32.6 ▲ +0.7 WaabiCA 32.6 ▲ +0.6 Avride PodUS 30.9 ▲ +1.0 DoorDash DotUS 27.8 ▼ -8.4 WayveGB 27.7 ▲ +0.2 TorcUS 26.7 ▼ -3.4 MOIA AmericaDE 25.8 ▲ +0.4 VerneHR 22.9 ▼ -0.6 AutobrainsIL 21.7 ▼ -0.1 Stack AVUS 20.1 ▼ -2.3 NuroUS 19.1 ▼ -1.0 PlusAIUS 18.8 ▲ +0.9 Tensor AutoUS 17.8 ▲ +2.3 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.8 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0 .RCI · Robotaxi Confidence Index 51.3 ▲ +0.5 .ADLCI · Autonomous Driving Licensing Confidence Index 37.5 ▲ +0.7 .ATCI · Autonomous Trucks Confidence Index 41.4 ▼ +0.2 .DCI · Delivery Bots Confidence Index 53.6 ▼ +0.2 Baidu Apollo GoCN 78.7 ▲ +0.2 WaymoUS 77.2 ▼ -0.7 Starship TechnologiesEE 66.8 ▼ -10.2 Pony.aiCN 66.6 ▲ +5.1 WeRideCN 63.9 ▲ +2.9 NeolixCN 61.0 ▼ -5.2 Serve RoboticsUS 60.5 ▲ +1.0 AuroraUS 59.8 ▲ +7.8 Applied IntuitionUS 55.8 ▲ +7.6 KodiakUS 53.3 ▼ -2.3 CocoUS 52.6 ▼ -5.3 TeslaUS 44.0 ▲ +0.5 Cao Cao MobilityCN 42.8 ▲ +2.2 Didi Autonomous DrivingCN 42.7 ▼ -1.4 XPengCN 42.3 ▲ +0.3 MomentaCN 41.3 ▲ +5.7 ZooxUS 40.1 ▲ +3.8 Bot AutoUS 40.1 ▲ +7.0 DeepRoute.aiCN 39.0 ▼ -5.1 Volvo Autonomous SolutionsSE 38.9 ▼ -0.7 MeituanCN 36.6 ▼ -4.9 MobileyeIL 34.5 ▼ -3.7 May MobilityUS 33.7 ▲ +0.6 AvrideUS 32.9 ▲ +1.1 MotionalUS 32.6 ▲ +0.7 WaabiCA 32.6 ▲ +0.6 Avride PodUS 30.9 ▲ +1.0 DoorDash DotUS 27.8 ▼ -8.4 WayveGB 27.7 ▲ +0.2 TorcUS 26.7 ▼ -3.4 MOIA AmericaDE 25.8 ▲ +0.4 VerneHR 22.9 ▼ -0.6 AutobrainsIL 21.7 ▼ -0.1 Stack AVUS 20.1 ▼ -2.3 NuroUS 19.1 ▼ -1.0 PlusAIUS 18.8 ▲ +0.9 Tensor AutoUS 17.8 ▲ +2.3 Helm.aiUS 17.5 ▼ -0.8 HUMAINSA 2.1 – 0.0
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Tesla Model Y - The Road to Autonomy

Tesla’s Robotaxi Gamble: License FSD to Automakers or Go At It Alone

Pete Bigelow, Senior Reporter, Automotive News joined Grayson Brulte on The Autonomy Economy podcast to discuss Tesla’s robotaxi gamble and the prospects for Tesla to license FSD.

In this wide-ranging conversation, Grayson and Pete dive into the bold promises and ambitious plans surrounding Tesla’s bid to launch CyberCab and a robotaxi service. As Tesla prepares to unveil more details on August 8th, they analyze what it could mean for the future of autonomy and mobility.

Grayson and Pete explore whether Tesla will actually show two separate vehicle models — one with traditional controls (potentially the Model 2) and a fully autonomous version without a steering wheel or pedals. The big questions linger: When will Cybercab realistically deploy commercially? And just how good will the self-driving technology be when it is first deployed?

The rise of Tesla’s robotaxi ambitions has sparked concerns about being Uber being potentially disrupted. But making the economics work with such an expensive vehicle platform remains a huge challenge. Could a Tesla subscription service bundled with incentives make a Tesla robotaxi more accessible?

As the conversation evolves, Grayson and Pete also analyze the strategic options for established automakers and if they should consider licensing Tesla’s self-driving software. Or should they choose to develop their own systems with Nvidia and Qualcomm? Or pursue potential licensing agreements with Cruise, Waymo or Zoox?

Zoox is interesting as the company is planning to launch service in Las Vegas which gives the company unique opportunities to embrace Vegas and create “experiences” such as mobile gambling in partnership with casinos.

Ultimately, the road to Tesla deploying commercial robotaxis at scale remains riddled with technological, regulatory and business model hurdles. But with Tesla all-in on the robotaxi future, the stakes are escalating for the entire auto industry to map out its autonomy strategy.

Episode Chapters

  • 0:10 Tesla CyberCab
  • 2:20 Tesla Mobility Platform
  • 5:14 Tesla Subscription Platform
  • 19:55 Camera Only
  • 23:30 Licensing FSD
  • 35:10 Licensing Cruise, Waymo, Zoox
  • 38:39 NVIDIA & Qualcomm
  • 41:05 Zoox & Casinos
The Road to Autonomy
Robotaxi Index
Live · Updated 06:00 UTC
RankOperatorComposite Score
05
Tesla
$TSLA
44.0/100
▲ +0.57-Day
▼ -0.630-Day
Composite Factors
Operations36
Scale41
Revenue25
Commercial55
Manufacturing95
Safety38
OMEGA's Take

Tesla ranks #5 in The Road to Autonomy Robotaxi Index with a composite score of 44.0, reflecting strong manufacturing capabilities anchored by scalable vehicle production infrastructure. The Nevada Transportation Authority approved Tesla to operate a commercial robotaxi network in Clark County, authorizing up to 5,000 self-driving vehicles over the next year.

Composite History
168 Snapshots
View Tesla Index Profile →
Operator AUTNMY AICalculated By OMEGAMethodology v1.3Sealed 06:00 UTC · 2026-08-23Leaf 5e388fb5068a83c5Cadence 12HEmbed
The future is bright. The future is autonomous. The future is The Road to Autonomy.

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